11/05/24
April 24, 2007
NHL Conference Semis Pick 'Em: Plus results from the first round.
posted by DrJohnEvans to fantasy at 10:57 AM - 37 comments
You're the best Dr I've never had!
posted by qbert72 at 11:05 AM on April 24, 2007
Buffalo in 6 Ottawa in 7 San Jose in 5 Anaheim in 5 Bonus: Ottawa Super Bonus: 90% Thanks for doing this Doc.
posted by apoch at 11:06 AM on April 24, 2007
Buffalo in 5 New Jersey in 6 San Jose in 7 Vancouver in 7 Bonus: New Jersey (the most important penalty killer is still the goaltender) Super Bonus: 81% And screw you, DJE! You've just given me another way to look bad! /shakes fist
posted by grum@work at 11:12 AM on April 24, 2007
Buffalo in 7 Ottawa in 6 Anaheim in 5 San Jose in 7 Penalty Kill - Anaheim Percentage - 92%
posted by WeedyMcSmokey at 11:12 AM on April 24, 2007
Buffalo in 7 New Jersey in 6 San Jose in 6 Anaheim in 5 Bonus: Anaheim Super Bonus: 88%
posted by HATER 187 at 11:15 AM on April 24, 2007
Buffalo in 6 New Jersey in 7 San Jose in 6 Anaheim in 6 Bonus: New Jersey Super Bonus: 85%
posted by emoeby at 11:15 AM on April 24, 2007
Did Detroit come down en masse with pneumonia or something? I mean, I'm a Sharks fan living 20 minutes from the Tank but I am very surprised that each of the picks so far is for Los Tiburones given the Red Wings won the conference. (Note: I do think the Sharks will win the series.)
posted by billsaysthis at 11:20 AM on April 24, 2007
Detroit has performed poorly in the postseason as of late. Of course their recent playoff history is less futile then say, oh, I don't know, the Ottawa Senators. I just (uninformedly) think that the Sharks are a better team.
posted by apoch at 11:27 AM on April 24, 2007
Rangers vs Sabres - Miller v Lundqvist is a push. Lundqvist is more of shut down guy, while Miller lets a few in until he needs to keep it out. Forward depth goes to the Sabres, though not by much, and I'm not sure if Ruff has an answer to Renney's Avery. Defensive depth is also a push, and might even go in favor of the Rangers mainly because I'm digging this Girardi kid. This is a tough one because I don't think the Rangers were pushed all that much in the first round, either by the players or the tactics. At the same time I don't think the Sabres are playing up to their potential. So what I'm saying is that is either going to be a very short or very long series. If the Sabres get the puck behind the Rangers' D too easily and often, it's going to be tough for Hank to keep the Rangers in it. I'd like to pick the Rangers as the dark horse upset spectacular, but I have to go with the Sabres in 7. Senators vs Devils - Home ice won't be enough for the Devils as the Senators just might be the best team in the East, which is comical since they've been dubbed exactly that for the past three or four seasons, except for this year. The regular season series favors the Devils 3 to 1, despite the fact New Jersey was out scored. I don't see this trend holding up, especially if Colin White remains sidelined. Tough to bet against Brodeur, but he has looked particularly human so far this year. Tip to Ottawa; fire the puck at Marty's feet, early and often and from everywhere. It worked for the Lightning until they stopped. Senators in 6. Canucks vs Ducks - Roberto, you finally got to the playoffs, and you even won a round. See you next year. There is no way Vancouver gets by Anaheim. Luongo is phenomenal, but even he can't stop what will sure to be relentless pressure. The Sedins will be neutralized by Pronger and Neidermayer leaving zero options for Vigneault. This should be over in 4, but I'll give one win to Vancouver courtesy a monumental game by Luongo. Ducks in 5. Sharks vs Wings - This should be dandy. The Wings, early to the golf course last year. The Sharks, earlier to the golf course than they should've been. These two teams want it bad. Head to Head gives a decided edge to San Jose, who out-scored the Wings 2:1 with the help of a humming powerplay. Chelios may find himself out classed in this series, taking dumb penalties after losing his faster mark. The extra rest for the Sharks won't help matters in the motor city. Sharks in 6. Best PK - Anaheim - % 91 p.s. DJE iz the shiznit
posted by garfield at 11:43 AM on April 24, 2007
Sabres in 5 Devils in 6 Wings in 7 Ducks in 6 Ducks 88%
posted by holden at 11:57 AM on April 24, 2007
Buffalo in 5 Ottawa in 7 Vancouver in 6 Detroit in 6 Bonus: Detroit Super Bonus: 85%
posted by trox at 12:05 PM on April 24, 2007
NYR in 6 Ottawa in 7 San Jose in 6 Vancouver in 7 Bonus: NYR Super Bonus: 92%
posted by goddam at 12:11 PM on April 24, 2007
just to clarify the super bonus, are we picking the % of the team we chose in the bonus or the % of the team with the best PK?
posted by goddam at 12:15 PM on April 24, 2007
Nice breakdown, garf. 100% agreement, yo. I'd like to update my prediction to San Jose in 6. Forgot that they're the 5 seed. I was surprised to see that they have more wins than Detroit.
posted by WeedyMcSmokey at 12:26 PM on April 24, 2007
NYR in 5 NJD in 7 DET in 6 ANA in 6 Bonus: NYR Super Bonus: 95% Doc, I savor this opportunity to further build upon my portfolio of mediocrity. Thank you.
posted by The Crafty Sousepaw at 12:28 PM on April 24, 2007
Buffalo in 6 New Jersey in 7 (sorry Doc) San Jose in 6 Anaheim in 7 THE BONUS NJ Devils THE SUPER BONUS 91%
posted by NoMich at 12:36 PM on April 24, 2007
Buffalo Sabres in 5 (Sorry Stan) Ottawa Senators in 6 (the what I don't want to happen pick, again) San Jose Sharks in 6 (Wings~Preds) Anaheim Ducks in 5 (Neidermeyers>Sedins) Sabres will have the best PK with 90%.
posted by MrFrisby at 01:22 PM on April 24, 2007
Buffalo knocks off the Rangers in 5 The Devils outlast the Sens in 7 San Jose takes it in 6 Anaheim rolls in 5 The Devils have the best PK (Colin, please come back!) Super bonus q- 92% DJE- thanks again for the game, makes wasting time incredibly satisfying!
posted by tahoemoj at 01:26 PM on April 24, 2007
After the first round debacle I feel bad wasting your time by making picks... Buffalo in 6 Sens in 7 San Jose in 6 Anaheim in 6 Anaheim - 87%
posted by SummersEve at 01:51 PM on April 24, 2007
Buffalo vs. New York Rangers-Rangers in 7. New Jersey vs. Ottawa-Ottawa in 6. Detroit vs. San Jose-Detroit in 7. Anaheim vs. Vancouver-Anaheim in 5. Super Bonus: New Jersey 89%
posted by wingnut4life at 03:18 PM on April 24, 2007
Buffalo over New York in 6 New Jersey over Ottawa in 6 San Jose over Detroit in 6 Anaheim over Vancouver in 5 THE BONUS Anaheim THE SUPER BONUS 89% DJE- thanks again for the game, makes wasting time incredibly satisfying! Not to mention convenient! Even though I just did.
posted by The_Black_Hand at 04:11 PM on April 24, 2007
New York in 6 New Jersey in 6 Detroit in 7 Anaheim in 5 Bonus: New Jersey Super Bonus: 85%
posted by skydivemom at 04:16 PM on April 24, 2007
If it isn't a problem I'd like to throw in my picks despite missing the first round. Buffalo vs. New York: Sean Avery lays out Daniel Briere with a bone crushing, but legal hit. Buffalo proceeds to act like the Calgary Flames and throw cheap shots for the rest of the series while Lundqvist stops whatever shots make it his way. Rangers in six. Ottawa vs. New Jersey: Senators blow out New Jersey in the first game. An indignant Martin Brodeur reminds them that they are supposed to be notorious for losing in the playoffs. The Senators drop the next four games. Devils in five. San Jose vs. Detroit: Hasek continues to be an x factor for Detroit while San Jose comes to the cold reality that the Wings are much more talented than Nashville. I'm a homer and proud of it. Wings in six. Canucks vs. Ducks: Nothing much to say here except Ducks in five. Bonus: Ducks Super Bonus 82%
posted by Ying Yang Mafia at 05:08 PM on April 24, 2007
BUF in 6. OTT in 6. SJ in 7. ANA in 6. Bonus: Vancouver 86.3256743 (Yes, despite picking ANA to win.)
posted by mkn at 05:43 PM on April 24, 2007
Buffalo in 5 New Jersey in 7 San Jose in 7 Anaheim in 6 PK pick - Anaheim at 91%
posted by gspm at 09:32 PM on April 24, 2007
BUF in 5 NJD in 6 SJ in 6 VAN in 7 Bonus: VAN SUPER BONUS 87% How the hell did I finish dead last? sheesh.
posted by rumple at 09:53 PM on April 24, 2007
The Picks: Buffalo over NY Rangers in 6 Ottawa over NJ Devils in 6 San Jose over Detroit in 6 Anaheim over Vancouver in 6 Bonus: Anaheim Super Bonus: 87%
posted by 86 at 07:39 AM on April 25, 2007
Let me start by saying I'm never picking the Predators to win anything again. They're worse than the Stars, for crying out loud. Let me follow up by saying I'm sick of the spotlight being on Sean Avery as the key player in the BUF-NYR series. Why can't we focus on the talent on the ice? And now the picks: BUF in 6 OTT in 6 That will make a nice, intense semi-final. DET in 7 ANA in 5 Best PK: Anaheim 93%
posted by qbert72 at 08:05 AM on April 25, 2007
just to clarify the super bonus, are we picking the % of the team we chose in the bonus or the % of the team with the best PK? You're picking the % of the team with the best PK. The Bonus and Super Bonus are technically independent of each other.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:48 PM on April 25, 2007
Did Detroit come down en masse with pneumonia or something? I mean, I'm a Sharks fan living 20 minutes from the Tank but I am very surprised that each of the picks so far is for Los Tiburones given the Red Wings won the conference. With the current format, the regular season standings are not as indicative of pure performance as they could be. Bob McCown did some calculations with a theoretical 4-3-2-1 point system, in which: 4 points - regulation win 3 points - overtime win 2 points - shootout win 1 point - overtime/shootout loss 0 points - regulation loss This places more value on a win obtained through traditional hockey means (i.e. scoring more hockey goals, not shootout goals, than the other team), which would seem to be more indicative of a team's actual in-game performance. One of the show's listeners crunched the numbers and figured out what the standings would be with this point system, and there were a couple of noticeable differences which may very well stand up to post-hoc analysis. The Thrashers dropped to 15th place in the Eastern Conference, while the Senators and the Sharks jumped to first place in their respective conferences. Interpret as you will!
posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:51 PM on April 25, 2007
NYR in 6 - I think the Rangers are under rated OTT in 6 - This only goes 6 if Broduer plays really, really well. SJ in 7 - Talk about the worst travel schedule ever for a conference semi. Good grief. VAN in 6 - my upset special. Best PK: San Jose at 89%
posted by camcanuck at 12:54 PM on April 25, 2007
thanks doc.
posted by goddam at 12:55 PM on April 25, 2007
NYR in 6 SJ in 7 ANA in 5 PK: Anaheim, 95%
posted by DrJohnEvans at 01:54 PM on April 25, 2007
BUF in 6 OTT in 5 SJ in 7 ANA in 6 Bonus: ANA, 91%
posted by rocket88 at 03:44 PM on April 25, 2007
The Wings lost way too many games in shootouts and overtimes. Made the conference race a bit to close.
posted by Ying Yang Mafia at 07:23 PM on April 25, 2007
Damn it, I missed the first game. Buffalo in 5 New Jersey in 7 Detroit in 7 Anaheim in 5 Detroit at 88%
posted by wfrazerjr at 10:41 AM on April 26, 2007
Round 1 Standings Please double-check your picks and points for accuracy.