December 28, 2018

SportsFilter NFL Pick 'Em Week 17: All the Marbles Edition: Every game in the NFL's final week is played Sunday. In SportsFilter's NFL Pick 'Em, only four points separate first-place Truthhurts and second-place Tron7. Ic2b is in third 112 back after winning the week with 133. Make your picks.

How This Works

SportsFilter is running a season-long NFL Pick 'Em contest and awarding a prize to the season's winner: an official NFL Game Football ($99.99 value).

To play, pick who you think will win and by how many points. You then get points based on the result:

Picked the winner? You get 5 points
Picked the winner and a spread within the margin of error? You get 3 more points
Picked the winner and the exact spread? You get 2 more points

What's the Margin of Error?

A window around the spread that's defined as the following:

spread - round(0.3 * spread) <= Margin of Error <= spread + round(0.3 * spread)

You get rewarded for being close to the spread. The bigger the spread, the bigger the margin of error, so you don't have to be as accurate predicting a blowout as a close game.


Actual SpreadMargin Starts atMargin Ends at
So if you picked Miami by 15, here's how you'd fare given certain outcomes:
OutcomeYour score
Miami by 208 points (winner + spread within MoE)
Miami by 105 points (winner only)
Miami by 1510 points (winner + nailed spread)
Miami by 50 points

Stone Cold Lead Pipe Locks

You can choose any game as a stone cold lead pipe lock. This doubles the points you win for that game, but if that team doesn't win, you lose 10 points (even if you get the spread). You can make as many picks a lock as you like or pick no locks at all.

The Small Print

In order to receive the prize, you must respond to our email within 14 days of the winner announcement. Make sure you have a valid email address on SportsFilter or contact me within that time period. The prize does not include international shipping, so in that situation you can pay the cost or receive an equivalent cash prize over Paypal.

Hall of Champions

2016-17: Ufez Jones
2017-18: Tron7
2018-19: Tron7

This Week's Games

Green Bay at Chicago on NBC (Thursday)
L.A. Rams at Carolina on Fox (Sunday)
Washington at Philadelphia on Fox (Sunday)
Buffalo at N.Y. Jets on CBS (Sunday)
Atlanta at Minnesota on Fox (Sunday)
Baltimore at Miami on CBS (Sunday)
Kansas City at Jacksonville on CBS (Sunday)
Tennessee at Cleveland on CBS (Sunday)
Indianapolis at L.A. Chargers on CBS (Sunday)
Cincinnati at Seattle on CBS (Sunday)
San Francisco at Tampa Bay on Fox (Sunday)
N.Y. Giants at Dallas on Fox (Sunday)
Detroit at Arizona on Fox (Sunday)
Pittsburgh at New England on NBC (Sunday)
Houston at New Orleans on ESPN (Monday)
Denver at Oakland on ESPN (Monday)

Picks must be submitted in this discussion before the game's kickoff. So if you miss Thursday night's opener you can still choose the Sunday and Monday games.

posted by rcade to football at 05:21 PM - 13 comments

I might be away from the computer when the picks are required:

Buffalo by 7
Green Bay by 6
Houston by 9
New England by 13
New Orleans by 17
Dallas by 6
Atlanta by 3
Cleveland by 10
Kansas City by 17
Chicago by 9
Pittsburgh by 17
Philadelphia by 7
LAC by 17
LAR by 17
Seattle by 13
Indianapolis by 7

posted by grum@work at 06:34 PM on December 27

For a first-place tiebreaker, pick the total number of points scored in the Colts/Titans game on Sunday night. If two players pick the same total and end up in a tie, the one who picked it first wins.

posted by rcade at 05:26 PM on December 28

Lock 'em all, myself!

Buffalo by 3
Green Bay by 5
New England by 15
New Orleans by 13
Dallas by 4
Atlanta by 1
Houston by 6
L.A. Chargers by 4
Kansas City by 14
L.A. Rams by 12
Minnesota by 2
Pittsburgh by 11
Seattle by 14
Philadelphia by 5
Baltimore by 10
Tennessee by 3

Tiebreaker: 45

posted by rcade at 05:29 PM on December 28

Lock 'em all, rcade!

Miami by 3

Green Bay by 10

New England by 20

New Orleans by 6

Dallas by 13

Atlanta by 10

Houston by 4

L.A. Chargers by 13

Kansas City by 17

L.A. Rams by 10

Chicago by 6

Pittsburgh by 21

Seattle by 17

Philadelphia by 6

Baltimore by 3

Indianapolis by 3

Tiebreaker (ha ha ha ha ha) 20

posted by tahoemoj at 06:01 PM on December 28

Buffalo by 7

Green Bay by 7

New England by 7

New Orleans by 7

Dallas by 7

Atlanta by 7

Houston by 7

L.A. Chargers by 7

Kansas City by 7

L.A. Rams by 7

Chicago by 7

Pittsburgh by 7

Seattle by 7

Philadelphia by 7

Cleveland by 7

Indianapolis by 7

posted by tommytrump at 06:58 PM on December 28

Miami by 5
Detroit by 5
New England by 7
New Orleans by 14
Dallas by 8
Tampa Bay by 6
Houston by 7
L.A. Chargers by 5
Kansas City by 12
L.A. Rams by 14
Chicago by 7
Pittsburgh by 7
Seattle by 14
Philadelphia by 10
Baltimore by 7
Indianapolis by 10

posted by NoMich at 07:45 PM on December 28

Let me see I'm 113 back, do I lock in all my picks or stick with my plan of selective locks.

Buffalo by 3

Green Bay by 13 (LOCK)

New England by 12 (LOCK)

New Orleans by 23 (LOCK)

Dallas by 6

Atlanta by 13

Houston by 10 (LOCK)

L.A. Chargers by 10 (LOCK)

Kansas City by 17 (LOCK)

L.A.Rams by 23 (LOCK)

Chicago by 3

Pittsburgh by 17 (LOCK)

Seattle by 14 (LOCK)

Philadelphia by 23 (LOCK)

Baltimore by 6

Tennessee by 4

Tie Breaker 46

More locks then I normally do.

posted by ic23b at 08:09 PM on December 28

Miami by 4
Detroit by 3
LOCK New England by 12 LOCK
LOCK New Orleans by 17 LOCK
LOCK Dallas by 8 LOCK

Tampa Bay by 5
LOCK Houston by 10 LOCK
LOCK L.A. Chargers by 12 LOCK

Kansas City by 5
LOCK L.A. Rams by 7 LOCK
Chicago by 3
Cincinnati by 3
Seattle by 3
Philadelphia by 5
LOCK Baltimore by 7 LOCK
Tennessee by 2

posted by bender at 09:18 PM on December 28

Miami at Buffalo Bills by 3
Detroit at Green Bay Packers by 10 LOCK
N.Y. Jets at New England Patriots by 17 LOCK
Carolina at New Orleans Saints by 7 LOCK
Dallas at N.Y. Giants Giants by 3
Atlanta at Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 3
Jacksonville at Houston Texans by 7
L.A. Chargers at Denver Chargers by 7
Oakland at Kansas City Chiefs by 17 LOCK
San Francisco at L.A. Rams Rams by 10 LOCK
Chicago at Minnesota Bears by 6
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh Steelers by 14 LOCK
Arizona at Seattle Seattle by 10 LOCK
Philadelphia at Washington Eagles by 10
Cleveland at Baltimore Ravens by 7
Indianapolis at Tennessee Titans by 3
Total in Titans-Colts game 45

posted by truthhurts at 12:02 PM on December 29

Buffalo by 4
Green Bay by 13 - LOCK
New England by 13 - LOCK
New Orleans by 17 - LOCK
N.Y. Giants by 3
Tampa Bay by 3
Houston by 6
L.A. Chargers by 7 - LOCK
Kansas City by 17 - LOCK
L.A. Rams by 17 - LOCK
Minnesota by 3
Pittsburgh by 17 - LOCK
Seattle by 7 - LOCK
Philadelphia by 10
Baltimore by 17 - LOCK
Indianapolis by 3

posted by tron7 at 12:23 PM on December 29

Well, I figure if I'm gonna bring up the rear here, I may as well see it through to the embarrassing end.

Lock all of them, please, & obviously, I think by now. No clue what the Tiebreaker stuff is, but I've a strong sense it has absolutely nothing to do with me.

Giants at home by 3 just to kick the girl's in the ass.

Saints by 13...they seem to, literally, continually march home.

Pats by 11...Hope I'm off by 12 the other way.

Green Bay by 8...Don't think I've won a single game I've picked them in.

Not touching the Texans game. Not putting any juju on this one.

Bucs by 6

Fish by 5

KC by 12

Steelers by 4

Bears by 2

Broncos by 5

Hawks by 23

Rams by 26

Colts by 8

posted by 9mmHeater at 11:58 PM on December 29

Buffalo by 7 LOCK

Green Bay by 3 LOCK

New England by 17 LOCK

New Orleans by 14 LOCK

Dallas by 3 LOCK

Atlanta by 3 LOCK

Jacksonville by -14 (No lock, can't do it, hell, I could get a sack against that OLine)

LA Chargers by 7 LOCK

Kansas City by 23 LOCK

LA Rams by 4 LOCK

Minnesota by 6 LOCK

Pittsburgh by 14 LOCK

Seattle by 10 LOCK

Philadelphia by 13 LOCK

Cleveland by 2 LOCK

Indianapolis by 3 LOCK

posted by jagsnumberone at 04:08 AM on December 30

Tried to get my picks in last night, but something went wrong with my fat fingers, hit the wrong key, and lost everything. Had no chance to do them this morning since I had to start a beef stew in the slow cooker, get to church, and after the service help strip the Christmas greens. I now have a truckload to take to the landfill tomorrow. Since there's no chance of materially improving my position, I will take this as my bye week, rest up, let the nagging injuries heal, and get ready for the playoffs.

posted by Howard_T at 01:34 PM on December 30

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