December 28, 2006

The Hoser's NFL Picks, Week Seventeen: NFL picks that think you should rent "An Inconvenient Truth," Al Gore's film on global warming.

posted by justgary to football at 09:13 PM - 16 comments

I'm thinking the Pats are going to work for this one, hoser, at least in the first quarter. A win gives them a chance to move up in the seedings if Indy tanks, and I bet you a nickel that Indy does tank.

posted by lil_brown_bat at 08:57 AM on December 29, 2006

You have AZ as your lock of the week, but have them losing to SD.

posted by bperk at 09:01 AM on December 29, 2006

I think he has them as a lock for covering the spread.

posted by apoch at 09:18 AM on December 29, 2006

Oh, thank you, I am not so clever.

posted by bperk at 09:24 AM on December 29, 2006

The Chargers are playing for home field advantage throughout the playoffs, and the NFL has moved the Ravens game to play at the same time as the Chargers. There won't be any opportunity for either team to let up due to results of the other's game. Expect the Chargers to stomp AZ, and never look back.

posted by Toad8572 at 10:57 AM on December 29, 2006

I'm waiting for the Lions to beat the Cowboys and effectively ruin their chance at a number one pick. Of course, if that means they won't end up drafting Brady Quinn I guess I'm fine with it.

posted by Ying Yang Mafia at 11:30 AM on December 29, 2006

I am going to watch the Bears dust off Green Bay and send #4 into retirement (I hope). The defense will play most of the game, until Rex and the boys can secure it offensively. Bears 27 Packers 10

posted by wdminott at 12:03 PM on December 29, 2006

Expect the Chargers to stomp AZ Whew, really going out on a limb there, aren'tcha?

posted by The_Black_Hand at 02:59 PM on December 29, 2006

I too disagree with the Bears - Packers spread. I think the Bears are going to take it to the Packers to show that they are in it for the trophey. They were quoted in Green Bays paper today as saying "we are treating this as our first playoff game". As far as Favre retiring; he has the mindset that he can get the 12 TD passes to tie Marino's record that he will keep coming back until he gets it even though he is a 16th season, 25th ranked QB. We do have one helluva QB at my daughters school, just a thought.

posted by Psycho at 04:00 PM on December 29, 2006

Good job ATS this season as a whole.

posted by ggermanctl at 09:25 PM on December 29, 2006

With the Lions struggling to a 2-13 record I don't think it was much of a struggle for them to get this result, unless you're complimenting the Lions on actually getting the two wins. Also, what makes you say the Raiders would get the first pick if both teams finish 2-14? I'm not sure of the tiebreakers between teams in the different conferences though Detroit has a smaller point difference and Raiders have a better common opponents record (beat Arizona, both lost to the Jets assuming Raiders lose tomorrow). Either way I generally think the teams who earn the top 2-3 picks are better off trading down almost every year. The Lions, specifically, have proven they cannot make a good selection at the top of the range and should be required to trade the pick if its in the top five.

posted by billsaysthis at 08:50 PM on December 30, 2006

The Colts Super Bowl Chatter certainly has died down. And I'm all for it.

posted by lex2000 at 03:55 AM on December 31, 2006

Bill the tiebreaker is the team who has a weaker strength of schedule. The theory is that that team then got its record by playing weaker teams. From what I've read here in the Detroit News, if both teams finish with the same record it is highly unlikely that the Raiders recieve the top pick.

posted by Ying Yang Mafia at 07:31 AM on December 31, 2006

I'm waiting for the Lions to beat the Cowboys and effectively ruin their chance at a number one pick. Not exactly a prediction, but I'd say it still counts for something.

posted by Ying Yang Mafia at 07:23 PM on December 31, 2006

And, of course, the Lions did in fact ruin their shot at #1. Woohoo, Raiders.

posted by billsaysthis at 07:28 PM on December 31, 2006

Wow. Talk about your kickass final week. Feel free to double-check our math, but it appears The Hoser went 10-6 straight up and a whopping 12-4 against the spread. We've looked three times, but we can't believe it ourselves. Of course, those kittens in Cincy rolled over like the Steelers were there to scratch their tummies, which blew the Trifecta. Oh, and how about the San Diego-Arizona game? The best thing about this week is it allows The Hoser to finish over .500 for the season. If we hadn't closed fast in the past four weeks, we would have been replaced by a chimpanzee making his picks by throwing feces at a chart on the wall. Which, to be honest, is pretty much how the staff at The Hoser does it also. Week Seventeen: 12-4 ATS 10-6 SU 1-0 LOTW 0-1 Trifecta +$1,080 Overall: 129-123-3 ATS 156-99 SU 7-10 Lock 2-15 Trifecta -$2,750 The Hoser's staff (Frazer, Michelle, Cabot and Mackenzie) thanks you for all your kind words and gentle barbs during the 2006 season. We're not done, though -- playoff edition coming up!

posted by wfrazerjr at 04:15 PM on January 01, 2007

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