October 04, 2006

CFL Pick 'Em, Week 17: While the CFL teams begin jostling for playoff position, some long-overdue movement occurs at the bottom of our pick 'em standings. Make your picks for Week 17 inside.

posted by DrJohnEvans to fantasy at 01:15 PM - 18 comments

Montreal squeaks out a win in Winnipeg to end their long, long slide and keep a piece of first place in the East standings. Toronto fulfils the home-and-home prophecy to hang onto the other piece. B.C. visits Hamilton with a Reality gift basket, and Edmonton makes sure to stay tantalizingly close the to playoff picture.

ResultMontreal by 3B.C. by 20Toronto by 7Edmonton by 5
Margin of Error2 to 414 to 265 to 94 to 7
Montreal was a SpoFi Upset Special this week, while B.C. winning big also handed out lots of points. The most stunning move of the week, though, was chicobangs' three-pointer to move out of last place for the first time this season.
SpoFiteMTL @ WPGS BC @ HAMS CGY @ TORS EDM @ SSKS PointsTotal Points
DrJohnEvansMontreal3B.C. Toronto8 646
FolkwaysMontreal B.C.23Toronto5 544
MrFrisby B.C.17 244
apoch B.C.21 Edmonton 340
WeedyMcSmokey Toronto 139
owlhouse B.C.17 Edmonton 338
The_Black_Hand B.C.18 236
gspmMontreal4B.C. Toronto 435
chicobangs Toronto5Edmonton 331
Ying Yang Mafia B.C. 131
Spitztengle B.C. 130
Three vaguely compelling games to be served with Canadian turkey this weekend. Note the two holiday Monday games. WEEK 17 Calgary @ B.C. (Friday, October 6) The jostling for position begins: both teams have clinched a playoff spot, but the division lead—and the berth into the Division Final that goes with it—is still up for grabs. A Calgary win ties these two teams for top spot. Saskatchewan @ Montreal (Monday, October 9) Saskatchewan, in the past two weeks, has beat the top team in the West and lost to the bottom team. Fortunately, Montreal is an equally erratic opponent. Edmonton @ Toronto (Monday, October 9) I started to wonder about crossover possibilities, but then I realized that Edmonton just needs wins. Might be tough against what can be the best defence in the league when it wants to be. Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 01:15 PM on October 04, 2006

BC by 4 Sask. by 8 Toronto by 6

posted by WeedyMcSmokey at 01:50 PM on October 04, 2006

These picks come to you from beautiful downtown Suva, in the Fiji Islands. The nearest Canadians I could find are my colleagues from the Marshall Islands, who may or may not be US citizens. Which stretches the definition of Canadian, but they suggested: BC by 15 Montreal by 3 Edmonton by 7

posted by owlhouse at 02:36 AM on October 05, 2006

In case anyone was wondering (sound of pin dropping, I know), the internet cafe that I'm in is playing Avril Lavigne, really loud. It's a sign.

posted by owlhouse at 02:43 AM on October 05, 2006

But the Napanee Necromancers have a bye this week!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:46 PM on October 05, 2006

BC by 5 Montreal by 9 Toronto by19 And thats all folks.

posted by Folkways at 04:40 PM on October 05, 2006

Oh, the altitude. I'm feeling woozy. How can you people stand being out of the basement? It's enough to give a bunny-hill mountaineer the vapors! Alright. I'll leave 13 people LION in the street! And then I'll ALOUETTE 6 people's whistles! And then I'll show 11 people my ARGONAUGHTY bits! And then I'll have to go lay down somewhere.

posted by chicobangs at 06:23 PM on October 05, 2006

Calgary by 16 Montreal by 21 Toronto by 4

posted by Ying Yang Mafia at 06:57 PM on October 05, 2006

British Columbia by 7 Saskatchewan by 3 Toronto by 7

posted by apoch at 07:01 PM on October 05, 2006

Well it's official ... I sunk to the bottom rung!?!? Dr. John, is it as lonely at the top as it is down here at the bottom? With a little luck, maybe YYM and chico will come back down to commiserate with me :-( Anyway ... Lions by 3 (although I'm already hating this pick) Riders by 3 (the Don is gone) Toronto by 5 (betting against the Eskimos last week at least saw them win one ... nothing like proving me wrong ... AGAIN???) Nope ... no blowouts this week.

posted by Spitztengle at 11:27 PM on October 05, 2006

Spitz, should I be concerned tha tyou and I have the exact same picks (except for points?)

posted by apoch at 12:27 AM on October 06, 2006

Well spitz the bad thing for you is that you actually seem like you know what you're doing.

posted by Ying Yang Mafia at 05:30 AM on October 06, 2006

B.C. by 11 Montreal by 6 Toronto by 3 Mmmmm...Canadian turkey, is that as good as Canadian bacon?

posted by MrFrisby at 07:53 AM on October 06, 2006

Calgary by 6 Montreal by 12 Toronto by 24

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:07 AM on October 06, 2006

Calgary by 9 Montreal by 18 Edmonton by 6

posted by gspm at 11:15 AM on October 06, 2006

Week 17 – Calgary @ BC
Hog Index6.6676.633
Point Diff5.66613.857
Quality record is record against winning teams (of which as of last week there are only three.) YPA is average yards gained per pass play Scorability is a measure of offensive efficiency, it’s basically the number of yards it takes a team to score a point. Bendability is a measure of defensive efficiency, it’s basically the number of yards it takes opposing offenses to score a point. DPR is the average passer rating of the opponent. The Hog Index is an average of a ranking in three different categories. It measures the efficiency of the Offensive Line. Point differential is just the average score minus average opponents score. Most of these stats were taken from the Cold Hard Football Facts website. They use them in analysis of NFL games. I had to do the data collection and compilation for the CFL. Fortunately it is a lot easier to compute 8 teams than 32.

posted by apoch at 07:54 PM on October 06, 2006

Damn work, interfering with my picks. Shit. I know it won't count, but I haven't seen last night's game, so I'm gonna pick the damn thng anyway. /petulance Gary by 4 Sassy by 10 Edmond by 5 So there!

posted by The_Black_Hand at 02:32 PM on October 07, 2006

Saskatchewan @ Montreal and Edmonton @ Toronto
Hog Index2.3335Saskatchewan52.333Toronto
Point Diff3.9280Saskatchewan-3.143-0.929Toronto
Saskatchewan @ Montreal Saskatchewan is average more yards per pass attempt and has a better offensive line (hog index) and on average is outscoring it's opponents. Montreal has a better defense making opponents go more yards before scoring (Bendability) and is better at defending the pass. Montreal also has a more efficent offense, but is averaging the same score as it's opponents over the season. Edmonton & Toronto. Edmonton has a better passing game, but is needing more yards to score. Toronto has a better offensive line, and is doing better defensively and has been outscored less than Edmonton.

posted by apoch at 02:53 PM on October 09, 2006

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