July 09, 2007

CFL Pick 'Em, Week 3: Big spreads mean lots of points. Make your picks inside.

posted by DrJohnEvans to fantasy at 10:38 AM - 20 comments

A lot of people got points off the WPG-MTL spread, which was good, because the spreads got more and more ridiculous as the weekend wore on. Montreal was the only loser to actually score a touchdown. B.C. handled Edmonton, Toronto hammered Hamilton, and Saskatchewan made Calgary look like your childhood pee-wee flag football team. Yikes.

ResultWinnipeg by 9B.C. by 20Toronto by 25Saskatchewan by 41
Margin of Error6 to 1214 to 2618 to 3329 to 53
A feel-good week for points, with just enough differential between spread picks to make it seem competitive. A nice bunch-up at the top, with rivalries developing between Canadian/American CFL fans and CFL fans who do not live in a hemisphere in which the games are broadcast. I can smell the intensity! (A note for Weedy: you picked twice. Normally your second set of picks would override your first set, but your second set was posted after the MTL-WPG game, so your first pick for that game overrode your second pick. Sorry, man. The other three second picks overrode their brothers in the first set.)
SpoFiteMTL @ WPGSEDM @ BCSTOR @ HAMSCGY @ SSKSPointsTotal Points
Ying Yang MafiaWinnipeg10B.C. Toronto22Saskatchewan 69
MrFrisbyWinnipeg7B.C.14Toronto Saskatchewan 68
owlhouseWinnipeg9B.C. Toronto Saskatchewan 68
SpitztengleWinnipeg8B.C. Toronto Saskatchewan 58
DrJohnEvansWinnipeg B.C.21Toronto 46
apochWinnipeg7B.C. Toronto Saskatchewan 55
gspmWinnipeg B.C. Toronto 35
The_Black_Hand B.C. Toronto Saskatchewan 34
WeedyMcSmokey B.C. Toronto 23
Three weeks in and already some semi-compelling games on the sked. Not bad! WEEK 3 Calgary @ Toronto (Thursday, July 12) What looked like a tough home match-up for the Argos may turn out to be easy pickings. The Calgary offense looked terrible against Saskatchewan. The Argos' top-rated defence, coming off a three-points-allowed performance in Hamiton, must be licking its chops. Also, Calgary only has three off-days to get their act together. Yikes! Edmonton @ Winnipeg (Friday, July 13) The Eskimos are coming off a loss against a predictably strong Lions team, and the Blue Bombers are coming off a come-from-behind win against an unpredictably weak Alouettes team. I think this game is a coin toss. B.C. @ Saskatchewan (Friday, July 13) This match-up of the West's two early-season juggernauts is the marquee game of the week. They're in tough in a very hostile stadium against a Riders team with all sorts of momentum, but if anyone can pull this win out, B.C. can. Montreal @ Hamilton (Saturday, July 14) Facing scuffling Montreal at home may be the best chance for Hamilton to pick up their first victory before a tough three games against the Lions and Bombers. Did I really just write that? Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:38 AM on July 09, 2007

Toronto by 21 Winnipeg by 3 BC by 10 Hamilton by 5

posted by apoch at 12:16 PM on July 09, 2007

Toronto by 20 Edmonton by 7 Saskatchewan by 16 Montreal by 3

posted by Ying Yang Mafia at 12:47 PM on July 09, 2007

Toronto by 9 Edmonton by 3 Saskatchewan by 11 Montreal by 11 (A note for Weedy: you picked twice. Normally your second set of picks would override your first set, but your second set was posted after the MTL-WPG game, so your first pick for that game overrode your second pick. Sorry, man. The other three second picks overrode their brothers in the first set.) Yes, well, I'd like to say I meant to, but I'd be lying. I just forgot that I already picked.

posted by WeedyMcSmokey at 10:43 PM on July 09, 2007

Hey, the more picks the better. Except when your first picks are better. Then, you know, the fewer picks the better. Write that down, kids. That's a rule to live by.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:40 PM on July 09, 2007

I was having a beer with Carrie and Alan at the Canadian Helicopter Compound in East Timor back in 2002. Toronto by 13. We were talking about what we'd do if we only had three minutes to live. Edmonton by 3. I said I'd ring my kids in Australia and tell them I loved them. BC by 7. Alan said he'd call his parents in New York and ask them to say kadish. Montreal by 15. Carrie said she'd ring another Canadian and discuss the Constitution one last time.

posted by owlhouse at 01:56 AM on July 10, 2007

The Argos trample the Stamps by 19 in an ironic twist that puts Tom Higgins on the choppin' block! Milt Stegall will set the TD record in this game against the questionable Esk secondary, but the green & gold will do some damage of their own. EE by 6. Riders are rollin' at home ... as long as they can put up big numbers again this week, they'll squeeze out a win. Saskatchewan by 3. The Tabbies versus the Als "should" be the easiest pick of the week, but the TiCat offense "has to" find its groove sooner or later. I'll say it's gonna be sooner and they'll eke one out by a single. Just for fun ... anyone wanna place side bets? What quarter will Stegall set the TD record, if at all? And will The TiCats score more or less than 15 points? And in what week will the Stamps fire Higgins?

posted by Spitztengle at 01:07 PM on July 10, 2007

I say the TiCats score exactly 15 points. 7 - defensive touchdown 3 - field goal 3 - field goal 1 - rouge 1 - rouge Also, Prefontaine is returning for the Argos, so y'all should double your spreads for that game.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:50 AM on July 11, 2007

Toronto by 18 Winnipeg by 1 Saskatchewan by 6 Montreal by 10

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:52 AM on July 11, 2007

Toronto by 24 Winnipeg by 3 B.C. by 6 Montreal by 7

posted by MrFrisby at 08:22 AM on July 12, 2007

Les Argos by 16 'Skmos by 9 Big Cats by 5 Ti Cats by 3

posted by The_Black_Hand at 04:41 PM on July 12, 2007

27-0 Argos at the half. Yikes. Michael Bishop's arm is scary sometimes.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 07:51 PM on July 12, 2007

Nothing more from Toronto and one touchdown from Calgary and I'm good. This is of course assuming that touchdowns are worth seven points.

posted by Ying Yang Mafia at 08:18 PM on July 12, 2007

I wouldn't be too sure. Given how Calgary's playing tonight, they'll probably miss the extra point.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 08:20 PM on July 12, 2007

oops, too late for one game. Edmonton by 20 Sask by 11 Als by 8

posted by gspm at 08:42 AM on July 13, 2007

I'm thinking about doing some stat analysis like last year. Anyone stats in particular you would like to see?

posted by apoch at 12:07 PM on July 13, 2007

I'm not sure if it's possible for you to do, apoch, but I'd be interested to see rankings by point differential by team type—i.e. which teams have the best +/- on offence, defence, and special teams. This would have particular relevance in the CFL because of the extra emphasis on special teams; they're essentially a third and equal degree of the game.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 02:42 PM on July 13, 2007

Damn, Doc, that shit is exactly what I was going to say. That's creepy, man. Yeah, apoch, go do, you know, that shit.

posted by The_Black_Hand at 08:57 PM on July 13, 2007

I'll be out west for a while so here are my picks for week four. Winnipeg by 12 BC by 24 Saskatchewan by 3 Toronto by 18

posted by Ying Yang Mafia at 07:10 AM on July 14, 2007

This how I'm thinking of breaking down credit for scores: Offence: Passing TD, Rushing TD, Offence recovers a fumble and returns it for a TD, 2pt PAT Defence: Interception for a TD, Fumble Recovery for a TD, Safety Special Teams: Field Goals, 1pt PAT, Rouge, Faked Field Goal for TD, Punt/Kickoff returns for TD, Fumble recovery on special teams play for TD. Basically whatever unit is on the field gets credit. If you think something should be moved, or I forgot a possibility, please let me know. Thanks.

posted by apoch at 07:39 AM on July 15, 2007

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