11/21/24
May 19, 2014
SportsFilter: The Monday Huddle:
A place to discuss the sports stories that aren't making news, share links that aren't quite front-page material, and diagram plays on your hand. Remember to count to five Mississippi before commenting in anger.
Scudamore remains Premier League chief executive as league review determines "no disciplinary action is required or justified." Other commentators disagree.
posted by billsaysthis at 03:36 PM on May 19, 2014
Am I missing something?
No, you're on the right track. The formula used is based on the "top four" from the previous five seasons, so it's a trend analysis. It doesn't take into account that the top four from ten years ago might be somewhat different today - i.e. it doesn't look at the performances of individual clubs. Also, why just the top four? If you chose two, it would skew the figures significantly for Spain and Portugal, for instance.
A better analysis is needed if you really wanted to prove something that fans implicitly understand anyway.
posted by owlhouse at 09:55 PM on May 19, 2014
Sean Ingle's article in The Guardian contends the Premier League is as predictable as any other league and this season wasn't so surprising. It's based on a "dominance index" that compares the success of the top 4 teams in a season across European leagues, but it doesn't seem to account for changes in the top 4 teams across seasons. Am I missing something?