October 13, 2010

MLB Post-Season Pick 'Em, LCS Edition: After a fairly pedestrian LDS in which nothing much of note happened, we can now look forward to the ALCS and NLCS and the intriguing possibility of Carl Crawford being traded to the Yankees in mid-series. Hedge your bets and make your picks inside.

posted by DrJohnEvans to fantasy at 03:17 PM - 27 comments

Curtis Granderson just barely squeaks into eligibility with exactly 12 PA, but carries the bonus with his .500 OBP. (Nobody picked him, so I left him off the chart.)

In the Grudge Match stats, the NL throws three complete games to the AL's one, and ends up averaging nearly 6.1 innings per start to the AL's 6.0. So the NL wins the Grudge Match, but the differential ends up being rounded to zero.

SpoFiteTEX vs TAMNYY vs MINCIN vs PHIATL vs SFGrudgeTotal Points
rahilsulemanTexas in 5 PhiladelphiaSan Francisco in 4 5
Ying Yang Mafia New York in 3Philadelphia in 3 NL5
bender New York in 3 San FranciscoNL4
DrJohnEvansTexas in 5New YorkPhiladelphia 4
Howard_T New YorkPhiladelphiaSan Francisco in 4 4
owlhouse New YorkPhiladelphiaSan FranciscoNL4
WeedyMcSmokey New YorkPhiladelphiaSan FranciscoNL4
bperk New YorkPhiladelphia in 3 3
cl Philadelphia in 3San Francisco 3
tommytrump PhiladelphiaSan Francisco in 4 3
ursus_comiter PhiladelphiaSan FranciscoNL3
boredom_08 Philadelphia in 3 2
dviking PhiladelphiaSan Francisco 2
Jeffwa New York NL2
cixelsyd NL1
trox NL1

Please double-check your picks to make sure I got 'em right.

AMERICAN LEAGUE CHAMPIONSHIP SERIES

New York Yankees vs Texas Rangers
Begins Friday, October 15

NATIONAL LEAGUE CHAMPIONSHIP SERIES

San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Begins Saturday, October 16

THE BONUS

Pick the two pitchers, one for each league, who will have the lowest ERA in their respective LCS. Minimum 7.0 IP.

THE YEAR OF THE PITCHER BONUS

Here are some recent game scores: Halladay's no-hitter was a 94; Lincecum's 14-K game was a 96; Lee's CG was an 82. With so many dominant pitchers appearing in these LCS, what are the chances we'll see another legendarily pitched game?

You tell me. Pick whether you think the highest game score in the LCS will be OVER or UNDER 88.5.

Total points available: 4 (LCS picks) + 2 (Bonus) + 1 (YOP Bonus) = 7

Example pick:
Yankees in 6
Phillies in 5
Lee, Halladay
Under

posted by DrJohnEvans at 03:18 PM on October 13, 2010

You tell me. Pick whether you think the highest game score in the LCS will be OVER or UNDER 88.5

I think you mean 8.5, right DrJ ?

posted by tommybiden at 03:22 PM on October 13, 2010

Texas in 7
Phillies in 5
Lee
Halladay
Over

posted by tommybiden at 03:23 PM on October 13, 2010

Hmm. In order to get under an 8.5 game score, I would need to give up singles to the first nine batters. And then get yanked.

Actually that's probably how a pitching appearance of mine would go, at any level.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 03:36 PM on October 13, 2010

Ouch, but did my first round prognostication really, really suck. Here we go again:

Yankees in 6 Giants in 7 Lee Lincecum Over

posted by trox at 03:41 PM on October 13, 2010

Texas in 6

Phillies in 6

Lee

Halladay

Over

posted by cixelsyd at 03:44 PM on October 13, 2010

Hmm. In order to get under an 8.5 game score, I would need to give up singles to the first nine batters. And then get yanked.


I'm sorry, I misread that, I thought it was total score in a game. ;-)
Apologies, DrJ.

I will keep my Over prediction.

posted by tommybiden at 03:52 PM on October 13, 2010

I thought my first round sucked, but apparently it was good enough for a tie for second. (That, however, doesn't say much for the rest of you.)

Rangers in 7
Phillies in 5
Sabathia
Halladay
Over

posted by bender at 03:57 PM on October 13, 2010

Any reason I'm not listed in the standings?

Rangers in 7
Phillies in 6
AL - Robertson
NL - Halladay
Over

posted by grum@work at 04:44 PM on October 13, 2010

Phillies in 5
Yankees in 5
Oswalt, Sabathia
Under

posted by cl at 05:03 PM on October 13, 2010

Any reason I'm not listed in the standings?

This is exactly what I meant when I said "double-check your picks".

Sorry grum. You have four points, and join our six-way tie for third place.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 05:16 PM on October 13, 2010

Amy reason I'm not listed in the standings? Did you not get my LDS picks via telepathy?

Recognizing I am starting a round late and am therefore ineligible for the Costanza (right?), I boldly make the following picks:

Phillies in 6 Yankees in 7 Halladay + Lee Under

posted by holden at 05:41 PM on October 13, 2010

Phillies in 5

Yankees in 6

Hamels

Pettite

Over

I can see a Granderson scenario with no one getting any of those right.

posted by WeedyMcSmokey at 07:00 PM on October 13, 2010

Yanks in 7 (Burnett gets KILLED)

Phillies in 6

Halladay

Lee

Under

posted by rahilsuleman at 07:54 PM on October 13, 2010

Yankees in 5 Phillies in 6

Sabathia, Halladay

Over

posted by owlhouse at 10:05 PM on October 13, 2010

Yankees in 6

Phillies in 4

Lee

Halladay

Over

posted by bperk at 08:06 AM on October 14, 2010

New York Yankees in 6 Philadelphia Phillies in 5

AL: Cliff Lee NL: Roy Halladay

UNDER

posted by Jeffwa at 11:48 AM on October 14, 2010

I believe we can end the pick 'em today and crown me co-champion.

Rangers in 6
Phillies in 5
AL: Cliff Lee NL: Hamels
Under

posted by Ying Yang Mafia at 01:14 AM on October 15, 2010

Phillies in 5
Yankees in 7
Lee & Hamels
Unnnnnnder

posted by DrJohnEvans at 01:24 PM on October 15, 2010

Man, I've really waited until late in the game to put these picks in. It's because I've been agonizing over the NY-Texas series. It could be a beauty. So here goes:

Texas Rangers in 7. If NY wants to win it, they best not get to game 7. I like Rangers' chances against anyone but CC.

Philadelphia in 6. The Lincecum vs Halladay matchup looks to be a great one for the baseball purists*, but boring for those who need runs to watch the game. It boils down to mathematics: 2H + O > L.

For lowest ERA, I'll go along with much of the crowd and call Lee in the AL and Halladay in the NL. Cream always rises to the top.

Game score is a new concept for me, but after looking at some of the results and the relative rarity of a 90+ score, I'll go with the UNDER.

* My son & I saw Greinke vs Weaver in Anaheim in August, and it was beautiful baseball. In a 2-1, 10 inning nail biter, the combined line for the starters was 16 IP, 12 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 17 K. Neither starter was involved in the decision. Lots of "small ball" from both sides, just like the old days.

posted by Howard_T at 04:00 PM on October 15, 2010

Here are your NLCS Game 1 game scores after two innings.

Halladay: 2 IP + 2 K = 58
Lincecum: 2 IP - 1 H + 1 K = 55

posted by DrJohnEvans at 08:26 PM on October 16, 2010

Well, I haven't done the math, but at this point it seems unlikely that tonight's game will break the over/under.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:57 PM on October 16, 2010

So Doc and Freak finish with game scores of 52 and 58, respectively. Not exactly the barn-burner many were expecting.

But have faith, over-pickers! Oswalt, Lee, and Pettitte will make their first LCS appearances over the next 36 hours.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 02:35 PM on October 17, 2010

Oswalt's three-hitter garners a 78. Still looking for an o/u challenger.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 08:21 AM on October 18, 2010

Still looking for an o/u challenger.

DrJohn, Cliff Lee is on line 1.

posted by tommybiden at 08:47 AM on October 19, 2010

Yup. Cliff Lee's 8 innings of 2-hit, 13 K shutout have notched him a game score of 90. The overs have it.

Close shave though. Had he allowed one more hit, he would've been at 88 and under.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:00 AM on October 19, 2010

Oops.

posted by boredom_08 at 07:28 PM on October 22, 2010

You're not logged in. Please log in or register.