June 25, 2009

The 5th Annual chicobangs Memorial SpoFi CFL Pick ’Em: is here and in fine form. The pigs have been skinned, the preseason has been played, and the first crop of MCL injuries has come and gone. Be a part of this grand tradition and make your picks inside.

posted by DrJohnEvans to fantasy at 12:23 PM - 25 comments

THE PICK 'EM - What we do

Faced with long days of summer idleness, we're left with no other choice but to spend our time picking the winners in the week-to-week action of the world's best pointy-endedball summer sport.

THE SEASON - When we do it

The season kicks off this Wednesday night and runs for 19 weeks through the summer. There are generally four games per week, running from Thursday to Sunday. If you're in Canada, you'll find the games on TSN. If you're in the States, there's a fairly decent U.S. Broadcast Schedule across local networks. And if that's not enough for you, there will be live pay-per-view webcasts of all games available.

THE RULES - How we do it

Here's how she works. You pick who you think will win, and by how much. You then get points based on the result:

  • picked the winner? You get 1 point.
  • picked the winner, and a spread within the Margin of Error? You get 2 points.
  • picked the winner, and you nailed the spread right on? You get 3 points.
  • didn't pick the winner, but nailed the spread right on? You get 1 point.

What's the Margin of Error?

It's a window around the spread that's defined as

spread - round(0.3 * spread) <= Margin of Error <= spread + round(0.3 * spread)

So you can get rewarded for being close to the spread even if you're not spot-on. The bigger the spread, the bigger the margin of error, so you don't have to be as accurate when predicting a blowout as you would when predicting a close game. Here are some examples:

Actual Spread Margin Starts at Margin Ends at
111
435
759
11814
201426

So if you picked Toronto by 15, here's how you'd fare given certain outcomes:

OutcomeYour score
Toronto by 202 points (winner + spread within MoE)
Toronto by 101 point (winner only)
Toronto by 153 points (winner + nailed spread)
Hamilton by 151 point (nailed spread only)
Hamilton by 430 points (and deservedly so)

Any questions?

THE GAMES, WEEK ONE - Where we start

In lieu of attempting to sum up each team's status in a single sentence, for this opening week I'm just linking to season preview pages for each of 'em. If that's not enough, RSN also has at-a-glance previews for the East Division and West Division. All times are EDT.

Toronto Argonauts @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats - Wednesday, July 1, 7:00pm
Montreal Alouettes @ Calgary Stampeders - Wednesday, July 1, 10:00pm
Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ Edmonton Eskimos - Thursday, July 2, 9:00pm
B.C. Lions @ Saskatchewn Roughriders - Friday, July 3, 9:00pm

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:23 PM on June 25, 2009

Toronto Argonauts @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats - Toronto by 13 Montreal Alouettes @ Calgary Stampeders - Montreal by 10 Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ Edmonton Eskimos - Edmonton by 7 B.C. Lions @ Saskatchewn Roughriders - Saskatchewn by 3

posted by rahilsuleman at 12:56 PM on June 25, 2009

Here we go again. I'll get the season going with what will no doubt be horrendous picks...

Toronto by 11 Calgary by 4 Edmonton by 16 BC by 9

It's good to be back...

posted by Reever at 12:57 PM on June 25, 2009

Mave may be new, but Mave is gonna make some sweet picks tonight!

Toronto by 10
Montreal by 12

Winnipeg by 6

Saskatchewan by 10



Or maybe Mave will end up in worst place, only time will tell.

posted by Mave at 02:37 PM on June 25, 2009

hey lebron my name is megan smith and my boyfriend is your biggest fan jesse leatherman i was wondering if i could ask you a ?

posted by smithmegan49 at 02:44 PM on June 25, 2009

LeBron James here, Megan. What's your question?

posted by rcade at 02:48 PM on June 25, 2009

posted by DrJohnEvans at 03:41 PM on June 25, 2009

I was really drunk when I got those tatts.

posted by rcade at 06:27 PM on June 25, 2009

You fuckers all need passports if you're gonna do this this year. Also, I used to make movies under the name Jesse Leatherman. I still would, but apparently this gut is all "unattractive" and stuff.

posted by yerfatma at 06:50 PM on June 25, 2009

And if you're in Terra Australis, you can't see any games at all.

But so the fuck what:

Toronto by 17 Calgary by 6 Edmonton by 11 BC by 7

I'll be putting up an Ashes contest shortly - I expect you all to enter.

posted by owlhouse at 09:05 PM on June 25, 2009

Ti-Cats by 12 Alouettes by 8 Eskimos by 3 Rough Riders by 9

posted by apoch at 08:24 AM on June 26, 2009

Ah the CFL Pick 'Em. I fully expect to finish no better than second.

Toronto by 18 Calgary by 8 Winnipeg by 3 Saskatchewan by 14

posted by Ying Yang Mafia at 05:34 PM on June 26, 2009

Hamilton by 14 Montreal by 3 Edmonton by 7 BC by 21

posted by BoKnows at 12:12 AM on June 28, 2009

Hamilton by 5 Montreal by 7 (Grey Cup revenge) Edmonton by 10 BC by 10

posted by JPR at 05:42 PM on June 29, 2009

Toronto by 6 Calgary by 5 Edmonton by 6 British Columbia by 5

posted by tommybiden at 11:13 PM on June 29, 2009

Toronto by 11
Calgary by 6
Edmonton by 3
BC by 7

Go You Huskies!

posted by MrFrisby at 02:25 AM on June 30, 2009

Here we go!

toronto - 7 montreal - 2 edmonton - 13 bc - 4

ARGOS, bring us a 'Happy Canada Day' win! eh!

posted by argoal at 03:55 PM on June 30, 2009

Let the games begin!!!

Again, thanks DJE for doing this! Sad but true admission that this is one of my favorite things to do each week. So thank you for enabling my addiction to the great Canadian game!

While I've got your attention, there are two things that I'd like to do this year in addition to my own post/picks, and that is to: (a) post the picks of the Canadian sports prognosticators (Chris Schultz from TSN and Perry Lefko from Sportsnet) to see how they do in comparison to our great CFL minds. Schultz picks the spread. Lefko, just the winner, so he'll be a one-point-per-game max, but sometimes that could be enough? And (b), to post the SportSelect Point Spread. Again, to see how the "pros" do against us. If it's too much work to add these to the "official" list, I'll just keep the records on my own. Just let me know.

All that aside, here are my picks:

The Toronto-Hamilton match-up is definitely one of the two hardest picks this week. TO's only a point-and-a-half favorite for good reason I think, 'cause be damned if I don't think that the Tabbies can pull this one off. Call it the start to a much-improved season. I don't think they're contenders, but I don't think they're the whippin' dogs this year. I'll take the TiCats by 6.

Defending champ Stamps are gonna have some swagger. They've got the best coach in the league if you ask me, and they're gonna assert themselves as favorites to win the Grey Cup at home. The west over east dominance will continue this year too. This is a no-brainer for me: Calgary by 12.

There's a buzz in Edmonton that has been missing for several years now. Richie Hall was past due to get a spot at the helm of a CFL squad. And that squad is lookin' pretty darn good early on. Winnie should be easy pickin' for a lot of teams this year, especially teams with a defense that can pressure the unproven QBs. In a landslide, Edmonton by 18.

Now, for the second hard-to-pick game of the week. Which one of these teams is gonna be in the western cellar? Frankly, it could be either one. And I think that it's gonna be a tooth-and-nail battle for the final playoff, if not a crossover spot between these two teams. But in a coin-toss, I'm gonna have to go with Wally. Riders have too much experience being on the losing end. Wally doesn't. It'll be close, but in the end: BC by 3.

posted by Spitztengle at 12:47 PM on July 01, 2009

Sport Select Point Spread for Week One:

Toronto by 1.5
Calgary by 4.5
Edmonton by 9.5
BC by 1.5

Chris Schultz (TSN):

Toronto by 6
Calgary by 5
Edmonton by 11
Saskatchewan by 1

Perry Lefko (Sportsnet):

Toronto
Montreal
Edmonton
BC

posted by Spitztengle at 12:49 PM on July 01, 2009

Hamilton by 6 Montreal by 14 Edmonton by 9 Saskatchewan by 7

posted by DrJohnEvans at 06:11 PM on July 01, 2009

Hamilton by 2 Montreal by 3 Edmonton by 10 BC by 7

posted by j5v at 06:36 PM on July 01, 2009

So I go 0 for 2 right outta the gates ... who's keeping score? Oh right ... we are!

posted by Spitztengle at 03:02 AM on July 02, 2009

Nailed em.

posted by rahilsuleman at 01:15 PM on July 04, 2009

Nicely done, sir!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 05:30 PM on July 05, 2009

EDMONTON 2, CALGARY 10, MONTREAL 9, WINNIPEG 10

posted by argoal at 01:51 PM on July 16, 2009

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