August 27, 2002

Fourth and goal on the two...what should you do?: A UC Berkeley economics professor does an in-depth study [35-page PDF, 2.7MB] that uses play-by-play accounts of virtually all regular season National Football League games for 1998-2000 to analyze teams' choices on fourth down.

posted by kirkaracha to football at 04:57 PM - 1 comment

That's cool stuff and makes a lot of sense, at least judging by the summary. That said... I'm not holding my breath for it to change. Questioning the conventional wisdom does not generally make for a long-lived career in sports, unless either the results are overwhelmingly positive or the conventional wisdom is provably very dumb.

posted by tieguy at 06:37 PM on August 28, 2002

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